Bitcoin Returns to Long-Term Crash Line as Macro Pressures Rise

Bitcoin is once again testing a critical long-term trendline that has coincided with every major macro-driven crash in the past decade. This crash line has acted as structural support during events like the 2016 deflation scare, the 2020 Covid collapse, and the 2023–25 downturn tied to Asian market stress and tariff uncertainty. The latest decline places BTC back on that same trajectory, raising questions about whether another sharp reaction is forming.

Each interaction with the crash line historically produced a violent selloff followed by a strong recovery. Despite different macro catalysts, Bitcoin repeatedly reverted to this rising support level, emphasizing its long-term importance. BTC is sliding back toward this trendline amid growing regulatory pressure, which is emerging as the latest potential trigger. The pattern suggests the market remains sensitive to policy shifts and broad risk sentiment.

Earlier crashes aligned with notable macro shocks. From deflation fears in 2016 to the Covid-driven breakdown in 2020, and later the Asia- and tariff-related declines, each correction found support at the same structural level. These rebounds eventually led to new cyclical advances. With Bitcoin now returning to this exact line, attention turns to whether the market will follow its historical rhythm or break from the trend amid regulatory uncertainty.

This moment matters because Bitcoin’s crash line has long served as a marker for extreme stress and subsequent recovery cycles. A decisive reaction here could influence broader crypto sentiment, risk positioning, and expectations for the next market phase. As BTC approaches this historically reliable support, traders are watching closely to see if it signals another major turning point or the start of deeper structural pressure.

source: Merlijn The Trader