Gold Price Pattern Suggests Rally Toward $5,400–$5,500 After Repeating 24% Moves

Gold is showing a technically consistent price pattern that may offer insight into its next major move. According to a market analyst, recent price action reflects a repeating rhythm of expansion and correction, a structure that has already played out multiple times during the current trend.

Rather than focusing on short-term noise, the analysis highlights how gold has respected clear percentage-based moves, providing a framework for both upside expectations and risk management.

Key Price Structure Observations

Repeating Rally and Correction Pattern

The current pattern began with a strong rally from roughly $2,800 to $3,500, followed by a controlled pullback of approximately 11%. After this consolidation, gold resumed its advance and broke to new highs near $4,400, marking an upside move of about 24%.

Once again, this rally was followed by a similar corrective phase of roughly 11%. This sequence—impulsive upside followed by a measured retracement—has now occurred more than once, suggesting a repeatable structural behavior rather than a random price fluctuation.

Projected Upside Based on Structure

If gold continues to follow the same expansion-and-contraction rhythm, the analyst projects a potential move into the $5,400–$5,500 zone. This projection is not based on a single indicator, but on the repetition of prior percentage gains after consolidation phases.

As noted in the analysis, gold “has been respecting a rhythm of expansion and contraction,” which helps frame expectations without assuming certainty.

Why This Matters

The importance of this pattern lies in structure, not prediction. Gold’s recent behavior suggests that strong rallies are being absorbed through healthy corrections rather than sharp reversals. This reduces the likelihood of trend exhaustion and supports the case for further upside over time.

For traders and investors, recognizing this rhythm can help:

  • Avoid emotional reactions during pullbacks
  • Maintain perspective during strong upside moves
  • Focus on risk management rather than short-term price swings

Outlook and Risk Considerations

Should gold reach the $5,400–$5,500 area, a corrective pullback in the range of 10–15% would be consistent with prior behavior. Such a move would align with the pattern of consolidation that has followed each major rally during this trend.

While further upside remains possible, the analysis emphasizes that every advance has been followed by a meaningful, but structurally healthy, correction. Understanding this dynamic allows market participants to better manage timing and expectations as the trend develops.

Sources: Twitter post by Jad Hariri

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