ASTS Stock Shows Buy Signal as 13HMA Crosses 30HMA at $83.97

ASTS stock is back in focus after a new bullish crossover appeared on the daily Heikin Ashi chart. The 13-period Hull Moving Average has crossed above the 30-period HMA, a setup that has historically preceded strong directional moves in AST SpaceMobile.

Shares are currently trading near $83.97. The 13HMA sits around $79.87, while the 30HMA is positioned near $86.09. This crossover emerges at a technically sensitive level following a sharp pullback from highs above $120, placing the stock at a potential inflection point.

For active traders, this signal is not just a crossover. It marks a possible transition from corrective price action back into a trend continuation phase, provided key resistance levels are reclaimed.

Technical Setup and Signal History

Performance of the 13HMA and 30HMA System

Since February 2025, the 13HMA and 30HMA crossover system has produced 10 signals on ASTS stock. Seven of those signals resulted in profitable follow-through, while three failed.

The unsuccessful signals occurred primarily near overextended highs, highlighting a structural weakness of momentum systems during exhaustion phases. When ASTS rallied aggressively, late crossovers tended to appear close to local tops.

However, during sustained trending periods, the strategy captured significant upside. In mid-2025, the system aligned with the broader bullish cycle as ASTS advanced from below $40 to above $100, demonstrating strong trend-following capability.

The data suggests the system performs best in directional markets and loses efficiency during sharp reversals or range-bound consolidation.

Key Price Levels to Watch

The bullish signal remains conditional.

For confirmation:

• ASTS must reclaim and hold above $90
• The 13HMA should begin acting as dynamic support
• Daily closes must remain above the $80 zone

A sustained close below $80 would invalidate the setup and shift short-term momentum bearish. In that scenario, $70 becomes the next technical downside reference, aligning with previous swing structure.

Currently, price is compressed between $80 support and $90 resistance. The resolution of this range will likely determine the next directional expansion.

Why This Signal Matters

Hull Moving Average crossovers are designed to reduce lag compared to traditional moving averages, making them useful for early trend detection.

In ASTS, the 13HMA and 30HMA combination has shown a 70 percent historical success rate since February. That figure alone does not guarantee continuation, but it provides statistical context for traders evaluating risk-reward.

More importantly, the signal appears after a meaningful retracement rather than at extreme highs. This structural positioning increases the probability of a sustainable move, assuming buyers regain control above resistance.

With volatility rising and momentum rebuilding, this crossover could define the next short-term trend phase.

Outlook for ASTS Stock

ASTS now trades at a technically decisive level.

A confirmed breakout above $90 would strengthen bullish momentum and potentially reopen the path toward higher resistance clusters.

Failure to defend $80, however, would shift the short-term structure bearish and expose the stock to a move toward $70.

The crossover system has delivered a 70 percent win rate in 2025, but confirmation through price action remains essential. Without a reclaim of resistance, the signal risks becoming another failed attempt within a broader consolidation.

My Take

The setup deserves attention, but discipline is key. The historical success rate of the 13HMA and 30HMA system supports a constructive bias, yet price confirmation is non-negotiable.

Above $90, the probability of trend continuation increases materially. Below $80, the bullish thesis weakens and risk management becomes critical.

For now, ASTS sits at a pivot where technical structure, momentum, and historical performance converge. The next few daily closes should clarify whether this signal evolves into a sustained breakout or fades into consolidation.

Source: Haider